John’s 2014 Academy Awards Picks

The 2014 Academy Awards are less than eight hours away, so here are the winners for who I believe will win, and who should win.  I believe the Academy will jump on the bandwagon that is the overrated Gravity, and snub the best film of the year in 12 Years A Slave.  I truly hope I am wrong, but we’ll see.  Also I didn’t put every category like best short film, and best documentary, because if I haven’t seen at least three of the films in a award category I don’t choose because I haven’t seen enough of the films.

Original Screenplay

NebraskaWritten by Bob Nelson

Her: Written by Spike Jonze

Dallas Buyers Club: Written by Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack

Blue Jasmine: Written by Woody Allen

American Hustle: Written by Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell

The only film in this category I haven’t seen is Nebraska, and I won’t by the time the Oscars air Sunday night.  Now onto who I think will win, and who should win.  It was a hard decision coming down between Her, Dallas Buyers Club, and American Hustle.

Will Win: Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell for American Hustle

Who Should Win: Spike Jonze for HER

Adapted Screenplay

The Wolf of Wall Street: Screenplay by Terence Winter

12 Years a Slave: Screenplay by John Ridley

Philomena: Screenplay by Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope

Captain Phillips: Screenplay by Billy Ray

Before Midnight: Written by Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke

In this category I haven’t seen two films in Philomena and Before Midnight.   Even with the not seeing every film I believe academy voters will overwhelmingly vote for 12 Years A Slave, and deservingly so.

Will Win:  John Ridley for 12 Years A Slave

Who Should Win: John Ridley for 12 Years A Slave

VISUAL EFFECTS

Star Trek Into Darkness: Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Ben Grossmann and Burt Dalton

The Lone Ranger: Tim Alexander, Gary Brozenich, Edson Williams and John Frazier

Iron Man 3: Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Erik Nash and Dan Sudick

The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug: Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton and Eric Reynolds

Gravity: Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, David Shirk and Neil Corbould

I’ve seen every film in the Visual Effects category, and there is only one clear cut winner.  Yes I think overall Gravity is an overrated film, but it’s visual effects were without question the best and I believe the voters will agree with me.

Will Win: Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, David Shirk and Neil Corbould for Gravity

Who Should Win: Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, David Shirk and Neil Corbould for Gravity

Original Score

Saving Mr. Banks: Thomas Newman

Philomena: Alexandre Desplat

Her: William Butler and Owen Pallett

Gravity: Steven Price

The Book Thief: John Williams

For Original Score I’ve only seen three of the films, but it comes down to Gravity and The Book Thief with I believe the Oscar voters choosing Gravity.

Will Win: Steven Price for Gravity

Should Win: John Williams for The Book Thief

FILM EDITING

12 Years a Slave: Joe Walker

Gravity: Alfonso Cuarón and Mark Sanger

Dallas Buyers Club: John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa

Captain Phillips: Christopher Rouse

American Hustle: Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers and Alan Baumgarten

I’ve seen every film in the category of Film Editing, and it boils down to a three way race between 12 Years A Slave, Gravity, and American Hustle.

Will Win: Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers and Alan Baumgarten for American Hustle

Should Win: Joe Walker for 12 Years A Slave

COSTUME DESIGN

12 Years a Slave: Patricia Norris

The Invisible Woman: Michael O’Connor

The Great Gatsby: Catherine Martin

The Grandmaster: William Chang Suk Ping

American Hustle: Michael Wilkinson

The only film I haven’t seen in this category is The Invisible Woman.  The race ultimately comes down to two films in 12 Years A Slave, and American Hustle.

Will Win: Michael Wilkinson

Should Win: Patricia Norris

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Prisoners: Roger A. Deakins

Nebraska: Phedon Papamichael

Inside Llewyn Davis: Bruno Delbonnel

Gravity: Emmanuel Lubezki

The Grandmaster: Philippe Le Sourd

The only film in the cinematography category I haven’t seen is Nebraska, and I believe the Academy will pick the deserving Gravity for the award.

Will Win: Emmanuel Lubezki for Gravity

Should Win: Emmanuel Lubezki for Gravity

Supporting Actress

June Squibb: Nebraska

Julia Roberts: August: Osage County

Lupita Nyong’o: 12 Years a Slave

Jennifer Lawrence: American Hustle

Sally Hawkins: Blue Jasmine

I’ve seen all but August: Osage County and Nebraska, but even if I had seen all the films it doesn’t matter as it will come down to two actresses in Jennifer Lawrence and Lupita Nyong’o.  Nyong’o is the most deserving with her unbelievable performance in 12 Years A Slave, but the Academy can sometimes be a popularity contest, and to that point I believe Jennifer Lawrence will win back to back Academy Awards.  Lawrence did give a great performance in American Hustle just not as good as Nyong’o did in 12 Years A Slave.

Supporting Actor

Jared Leto: Dallas Buyers Club

Jonah Hill: The Wolf of Wall Street

Michael Fassbender: 12 Years a Slave

Bradley Cooper: American Hustle

Barkhad Abdi: Captain Phillips

I’ve seen every film in the supporting actor category, and this is a wide open category as I really have no idea who the Academy will vote for, but in my opinion the odds on favorite is Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club.

Will Win: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club

Should Win: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club

Actress

Meryl Streep: August: Osage County

Judi Dench: Philomena

Sandra Bullock: Gravity

Cate Blanchett: Blue Jasmine

Amy Adams: American Hustle

I’ve seen three films in the best actress category with Philomena, and August: Osage County being the ones I haven’t seen.  Ultimately the award will come down to a three women race between the truly undeserving Sandra Bullock for her overrated performance in Gravity, and the truly deserving in Cate Blanchett and Amy Adams.  Unfortunately I believe the academy will give the award to Sandra Bullock.

Will Win: Sandra Bullock for Gravity

Should Win: Amy Adams for American Hustle

Actor

Matthew McConaughey: Dallas Buyers Club

Chiwetel Ejiofor: 12 Years a Slave

Leonardo DiCaprio: The Wolf of Wall Street

Bruce Dern: Nebraska

Christian Bale: American Hustle

Again the only film I haven’t seen is Nebraska.  There have certainly been many great male performances this year with I believe Chiwetel Ejiofor, Matthew McConaughey, and Christian Bale being the front runners.  Ejiofor is the most deserving for is truly amazing performance in 12 Years A Slave, but I believe once again that Ejiofor and 12 Years A Slave will once again be snubbed by the Academy voters who will choose between McConaughey and Bale.

Will Win: Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club

Should Win: Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years A Slave

Director

The Wolf of Wall Street: Martin Scorsese

12 Years a Slave: Steve McQueen

Nebraska: Alexander Payne

Gravity: Alfonso Cuarón

American Hustle: David O. Russell

Outside of Nebraska I’ve seen all the films, and in my opinion there is only one deserving winner, and that is Steve McQueen for 12 Years A Slave, but once again the Academy will snub 12 Years A Slave, and ultimately chose between the undeserving Alfonso Cuaron along with the more deserving David O. Russell and Martin Scorsese.

Will Win: Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity

Should Win: Steve McQueen for 12 Years A Slave

Best Picture

The Wolf of Wall Street: Martin Scorsese, Leonardo DiCaprio, Joey McFarland and Emma Tillinger Koskoff, Producers

12 Years a Slave: Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Steve McQueen and Anthony Katagas, Producers

Philomena: Gabrielle Tana, Steve Coogan and Tracey Seaward, Producers

Nebraska: Albert Berger and Ron Yerxa, Producers

Her: Megan Ellison, Spike Jonze and Vincent Landay, Producers

Gravity: Alfonso Cuarón and David Heyman, Producers

Dallas Buyers Club: Robbie Brenner and Rachel Winter, Producers

Captain Phillips: Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti and Michael De Luca, Producers

American Hustle: Charles Roven, Richard Suckle, Megan Ellison, and Jonathan Gordon, Producers

Sure there are nine films nominated this year for Best Picture, but I believe it will come down to a five film race between the overrated and undeserving Gravity, and four other films in American Hustle, Dallas Buyers Club, The Wolf of Wall Street, and 12 Years A Slave.  Sadly I believe 12 Years A Slave will be insulted once again, and the Academy will narrow it down between Gravity, Dallas Buyers Club, and American Hustle.

Will Win: Gravity

Should Win: 12 Years A Slave

 

 

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Categorised in: Movie News, Opinion

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